Scenario Building Tools, Concepts, and Process
In Chapter 3, we enter into the heart of this book. The chapter is structured as follows:
• The scenario process
• Scenario storytelling—the process with the War in the Pacific case study
• Defining the playing field—the scope and focus
• Using the strategic onion model for generating common assumptions
• Drivers for change—Systems models for discontinuities
• The business value system
• Injecting dynamics with the uncertainty tunnel
• The strategic option grid
• Cognitive and emotional bias
• Risky shift
• Key concluding insights
In this chapter, we will focus on the analytical work of forming the scenario process rather than on the detailed mechanics process-wise, which is covered in ...
Get Business Foresight now with the O’Reilly learning platform.
O’Reilly members experience books, live events, courses curated by job role, and more from O’Reilly and nearly 200 top publishers.
