Investment Risk

When it comes to investments, risk is the variance of the percentage changes in value (returns) over time. The two histograms in Figure 1 summarize monthly percentage changes of two investments.

The histogram on the top shows monthly percentage changes on the stock market from 1926 through 2015; the histogram on the bottom shows US Treasury Bills (basically, a short-term savings bond). There’s almost no month-to-month variation (on this scale) in Treasuries. The stock market is much riskier. Sometimes stocks go up a lot (the largest monthly increase is 38%), and other times go down. This variation in what happens from month to month is risk.

Figure 1 Percentage changes of stocks ...

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