Statistical Rethinking

Contents

Preface

Audience

Teaching strategy

How to use this book

Installing the rethinking R package

Acknowledgments

Chapter 1. The Golem of Prague

1.1. Statistical golems

1.2. Statistical rethinking

1.3. Three tools for golem engineering

1.4. Summary

Chapter 2. Small Worlds and Large Worlds

2.1. The garden of forking data

2.2. Building a model

2.3. Components of the model

2.4. Making the model go

2.5. Summary

2.6. Practice

Chapter 3. Sampling the Imaginary

3.1. Sampling from a grid-approximate posterior

3.2. Sampling to summarize

3.3. Sampling to simulate prediction

3.4. Summary

3.5. Practice

Chapter 4. Linear Models

4.1. Why normal distributions are normal

4.2. A language for describing models

4.3. A Gaussian model of height

4.4. Adding a predictor ...