Chapter 7. Basic Reliability Prediction Theory

7.1. Why Predict RAMS?

Reliability prediction (i.e. modeling) is the process of calculating the anticipated system RAMS from assumed component failure rates. It provides a quantitative measure of how close a proposed design comes to meeting the design objectives and allows comparisons to be made between different design proposals. It has already been emphasized that reliability prediction is an imprecise calculation, but it is nevertheless a valuable exercise for the following reasons:
• It provides an early indication of a system's potential to meet the design reliability requirements.
• It enables an assessment of life-cycle costs to be carried out.
• It enables one to establish which components, or ...

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