Quantitative Methods: An Introduction for Business Management

Quantitative Methods: An Introduction for Business Management

by Paolo Brandimarte
Released April 2011
Publisher(s): Wiley
ISBN: 9780470496343

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Book description

An accessible introduction to the essential quantitative methods for making valuable business decisions

Quantitative methods-research techniques used to analyze quantitative data-enable professionals to organize and understand numbers and, in turn, to make good decisions. Quantitative Methods: An Introduction for Business Management presents the application of quantitative mathematical modeling to decision making in a business management context and emphasizes not only the role of data in drawing conclusions, but also the pitfalls of undiscerning reliance of software packages that implement standard statistical procedures. With hands-on applications and explanations that are accessible to readers at various levels, the book successfully outlines the necessary tools to make smart and successful business decisions.

Progressing from beginner to more advanced material at an easy-to-follow pace, the author utilizes motivating examples throughout to aid readers interested in decision making and also provides critical remarks, intuitive traps, and counterexamples when appropriate.

The book begins with a discussion of motivations and foundations related to the topic, with introductory presentations of concepts from calculus to linear algebra. Next, the core ideas of quantitative methods are presented in chapters that explore introductory topics in probability, descriptive and inferential statistics, linear regression, and a discussion of time series that includes both classical topics and more challenging models. The author also discusses linear programming models and decision making under risk as well as less standard topics in the field such as game theory and Bayesian statistics. Finally, the book concludes with a focus on selected tools from multivariate statistics, including advanced regression models and data reduction methods such as principal component analysis, factor analysis, and cluster analysis.

The book promotes the importance of an analytical approach, particularly when dealing with a complex system where multiple individuals are involved and have conflicting incentives. A related website features Microsoft Excel® workbooks and MATLAB® scripts to illustrate concepts as well as additional exercises with solutions.

Quantitative Methods is an excellent book for courses on the topic at the graduate level. The book also serves as an authoritative reference and self-study guide for financial and business professionals, as well as readers looking to reinforce their analytical skills.

Table of contents

  1. Cover Page
  2. Title Page
  3. Copyright
  4. Contents
  5. Preface
  6. Part I: Motivations and Foundations
    1. 1: Quantitative Methods: Should We Bother?
      1. 1.1 A DECISION PROBLEM WITHOUT UNCERTAINTY: PRODUCT MIX
      2. 1.2 THE ROLE OF UNCERTAINTY
      3. 1.3 ENDOGENOUS VS. EXOGENOUS UNCERTAINTY: ARE WE ALONE?
      4. 1.4 QUANTITATIVE MODELS AND METHODS
      5. 1.5 QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS AND PROBLEM SOLVING
      6. REFERENCES
    2. 2: Calculus
      1. 2.1 A MOTIVATING EXAMPLE: ECONOMIC ORDER QUANTITY
      2. 2.2 A LITTLE BACKGROUND
      3. 2.3 FUNCTIONS
      4. 2.4 CONTINUOUS FUNCTIONS
      5. 2.5 COMPOSITE FUNCTIONS
      6. 2.6 INVERSE FUNCTIONS
      7. 2.7 DERIVATIVES
      8. 2.8 RULES FOR CALCULATING DERIVATIVES
      9. 2.9 USING DERIVATIVES FOR GRAPHING FUNCTIONS
      10. 2.10 HIGHER-ORDER DERIVATIVES AND TAYLOR EXPANSIONS
      11. 2.11 CONVEXITY AND OPTIMIZATION
      12. 2.12 SEQUENCES AND SERIES
      13. 2.13 DEFINITE INTEGRALS
      14. REFERENCES
    3. 3: Linear Algebra
      1. 3.1 A MOTIVATING EXAMPLE: BINOMIAL OPTION PRICING
      2. 3.2 SOLVING SYSTEMS OF LINEAR EQUATIONS
      3. 3.3 VECTOR ALGEBRA
      4. 3.4 MATRIX ALGEBRA
      5. 3.5 LINEAR SPACES
      6. 3.6 DETERMINANT
      7. 3.7 EIGENVALUES AND EIGENVECTORS
      8. 3.8 QUADRATIC FORMS
      9. 3.9 CALCULUS IN MULTIPLE DIMENSIONS
      10. REFERENCES
  7. Part II: Elementary Probability and Statistics
    1. 4: Descriptive Statistics: On the Way to Elementary Probability
      1. 4.1 WHAT IS STATISTICS?
      2. 4.2 ORGANIZING AND REPRESENTING RAW DATA
      3. 4.3 SUMMARY MEASURES
      4. 4.4 CUMULATIVE FREQUENCIES AND PERCENTILES
      5. 4.5 MULTIDIMENSIONAL DATA
      6. REFERENCES
    2. 5: Probability Theories
      1. 5.1 DIFFERENT CONCEPTS OF PROBABILITY
      2. 5.2 THE AXIOMATIC APPROACH
      3. 5.3 CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY AND INDEPENDENCE
      4. 5.4 TOTAL PROBABILITY AND BAYES' THEOREMS
      5. REFERENCES
    3. 6: Discrete Random Variables
      1. 6.1 RANDOM VARIABLES
      2. 6.2 CHARACTERIZING DISCRETE DISTRIBUTIONS
      3. 6.3 EXPECTED VALUE
      4. 6.4 VARIANCE AND STANDARD DEVIATION
      5. 6.5 A FEW USEFUL DISCRETE DISTRIBUTIONS
      6. REFERENCES
    4. 7: Continuous Random Variables
      1. 7.1 BUILDING INTUITION: FROM DISCRETE TO CONTINUOUS RANDOM VARIABLES
      2. 7.2 CUMULATIVE DISTRIBUTION AND PROBABILITY DENSITY FUNCTIONS
      3. 7.3 EXPECTED VALUE AND VARIANCE
      4. 7.4 MODE, MEDIAN, AND QUANTILES
      5. 7.5 HIGHER-ORDER MOMENTS, SKEWNESS, AND KURTOSIS
      6. 7.6 A FEW USEFUL CONTINUOUS PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS
      7. 7.7 SUMS OF INDEPENDENT RANDOM VARIABLES
      8. 7.8 MISCELLANEOUS APPLICATIONS
      9. 7.9 STOCHASTIC PROCESSES
      10. 7.10 PROBABILITY SPACES, MEASURABILITY, AND INFORMATION
      11. REFERENCES
    5. 8: Dependence, Correlation, and Conditional Expectation
      1. 8.1 JOINT AND MARGINAL DISTRIBUTIONS
      2. 8.2 INDEPENDENT RANDOM VARIABLES
      3. 8.3 COVARIANCE AND CORRELATION
      4. 8.4 JOINTLY NORMAL VARIABLES
      5. 8.5 CONDITIONAL EXPECTATION
      6. REFERENCES
    6. 9: Inferential Statistics
      1. 9.1 RANDOM SAMPLES AND SAMPLE STATISTICS
      2. 9.2 CONFIDENCE INTERVALS
      3. 9.3 HYPOTHESIS TESTING
      4. 9.4 BEYOND THE MEAN OF ONE POPULATION
      5. 9.5 CHECKING THE FIT OF HYPOTHETICAL DISTRIBUTIONS: THE CHI-SQUARE TEST
      6. 9.6 ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE
      7. 9.7 MONTE CARLO SIMULATION
      8. 9.8 STOCHASTIC CONVERGENCE AND THE LAW OF LARGE NUMBERS
      9. 9.9 PARAMETER ESTIMATION
      10. 9.10 SOME MORE HYPOTHESIS TESTING THEORY
      11. REFERENCES
    7. 10: Simple Linear Regression
      1. 10.1 LEAST-SQUARES METHOD
      2. 10.2 THE NEED FOR A STATISTICAL FRAMEWORK
      3. 10.3 THE CASE OF A NONSTOCHASTIC REGRESSOR
      4. 10.4 USING REGRESSION MODELS
      5. 10.5 A GLIMPSE OF STOCHASTIC REGRESSORS AND HETEROSKEDASTIC ERRORS
      6. 10.6 A VECTOR SPACE LOOK AT LINEAR REGRESSION
      7. REFERENCES
    8. 11: Time Series Models
      1. 11.1 BEFORE WE START: FRAMING THE FORECASTING PROCESS
      2. 11.2 MEASURING FORECAST ERRORS
      3. 11.3 TIME SERIES DECOMPOSITION
      4. 11.4 MOVING AVERAGE
      5. 11.5 HEURISTIC EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING
      6. 11.6 A GLANCE AT ADVANCED TIME SERIES MODELING
      7. REFERENCES
  8. Part III: Models for Decision Making
    1. 12: Deterministic Decision Models
      1. 12.1 A TAXONOMY OF OPTIMIZATION MODELS
      2. 12.2 BUILDING LINEAR PROGRAMMING MODELS
      3. 12.3 A REPERTOIRE OF MODEL FORMULATION TRICKS
      4. 12.4 BUILDING INTEGER PROGRAMMING MODELS
      5. 12.5 NONLINEAR PROGRAMMING CONCEPTS
      6. 12.6 A GLANCE AT SOLUTION METHODS
      7. REFERENCES
    2. 13: Decision Making Under Risk
      1. 13.1 DECISION TREES
      2. 13.2 RISK AVERSION AND RISK MEASURES
      3. 13.3 TWO-STAGE STOCHASTIC PROGRAMMING MODELS
      4. 13.4 MULTISTAGE STOCHASTIC LINEAR PROGRAMMING WITH RECOURSE
      5. 13.5 ROBUSTNESS, REGRET, AND DISAPPOINTMENT
      6. REFERENCES
    3. 14: Multiple Decision Makers, Subjective Probability, and Other Wild Beasts
      1. 14.1 WHAT IS UNCERTAINTY?
      2. 14.2 DECISION PROBLEMS WITH MULTIPLE DECISION MAKERS
      3. 14.3 INCENTIVE MISALIGNMENT IN SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT
      4. 14.4 GAME THEORY
      5. 14.5 BRAESS' PARADOX FOR TRAFFIC NETWORKS
      6. 14.6 DYNAMIC FEEDBACK EFFECTS AND HERDING BEHAVIOR
      7. 14.7 SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITY: THE BAYESIAN VIEW
      8. REFERENCES
  9. Part IV: Advanced Statistical Modeling
    1. 15: Introduction to Multivariate Analysis
      1. 15.1 ISSUES IN MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS
      2. 15.2 AN OVERVIEW OF MULTIVARIATE METHODS
      3. 15.3 MATRIX ALGEBRA AND MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS
      4. REFERENCES
    2. 16: Advanced Regression Models
      1. 16.1 MULTIPLE LINEAR REGRESSION BY LEAST SQUARES
      2. 16.2 BUILDING, TESTING, AND USING MULTIPLE LINEAR REGRESSION MODELS
      3. 16.3 LOGISTIC REGRESSION
      4. 16.4 A GLANCE AT NONLINEAR REGRESSION
      5. REFERENCES
    3. 17: Dealing with Complexity: Data Reduction and Clustering
      1. 17.1 THE NEED FOR DATA REDUCTION
      2. 17.2 PRINCIPAL COMPONENT ANALYSIS (PCA)
      3. 17.3 FACTOR ANALYSIS
      4. 17.4 CLUSTER ANALYSIS
      5. REFERENCES
  10. Index

Product information

  • Title: Quantitative Methods: An Introduction for Business Management
  • Author(s): Paolo Brandimarte
  • Release date: April 2011
  • Publisher(s): Wiley
  • ISBN: 9780470496343