5 Recession, forecasting, and economic policy

Learning objectives

After reading this chapter, you will be able to:

  1. LO1 Describe the recession interval of the pandemic phase.
  2. LO2 Use the circular-flow model to explain the relationship between output and income.
  3. LO3 Discuss business cycles, focusing on the contractionary stage.
  4. LO4 Establish an aggregate supply-aggregate demand model to explain the recession.
  5. LO5 Incorporate a Keynesian framework for the analysis of market outcomes.
  6. LO6 Explain that a pandemic recession is unique because of the precipitating event.
  7. LO7 Analyze both fiscal and monetary policies as methods to stimulate aggregate demand.
  8. LO8 Discuss the challenge of macroeconomic forecasting during a pandemic.

Chapter outline ...

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