Machine Learning and Knowledge Discovery for Engineering Systems Health Management

CHAPTER 5

Prognostic Performance Metrics

Kai GoebelAbhinav SaxenaSankalita SahaBhaskar SahaJose Celaya

CONTENTS

5.1    Introduction

5.2    Background

5.2.1    Prediction Categorization

5.2.1.1    Forecasting

5.2.1.2    Prognostics

5.2.2    Prediction Methods

5.2.3    Performance Evaluation Methods

5.3    Metrics for Prognostic Applications

5.3.1    Certification Metrics

5.3.2    Cost-Benefit Metrics

5.3.2.1    MTBF-to-MTBUR Ratio Method

5.3.2.2    Life Cycle Cost

5.3.2.3    Return on Investment

5.3.2.4    Technical Value

5.3.2.5    Total Value

5.3.3    Metrics for Computational Performance

5.3.4    Metrics for Reliability Analysis

5.3.4.1    Constant Rate Reliability Metrics

5.3.4.2    Probability of Success Metrics

5.3.5    Metrics for Prognostics ...